Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 401.238116 456.267707 517.561118 591.156650 677.469006 775.902032 897.245727
2025-10-12 331.574706 406.338885 497.396921 617.584658 773.718466 971.992332 1246.552738
2025-10-19 285.039751 366.718480 472.222961 620.660984 827.637451 1111.367390 1539.266445
2025-10-26 245.885413 328.253136 439.553280 604.145855 846.930893 1201.054310 1774.374186
2025-11-02 217.770242 299.870252 415.114125 592.973124 868.490853 1293.047295 2025.900783
2025-11-09 203.051572 287.891905 411.363909 609.905854 932.497867 1457.385631 2424.041658
2025-11-16 186.176500 270.521588 397.076881 607.842071 964.740563 1573.881609 2762.659848
2025-11-23 170.656836 253.376612 380.886065 599.995696 985.127721 1671.844443 3086.306204
2025-11-30 159.687125 242.057514 372.380572 603.271495 1024.316995 1808.580562 3514.886618
2025-12-07 147.268099 227.196932 356.498482 591.678466 1034.469580 1891.512415 3849.593995
2025-12-14 137.651611 216.001873 345.510091 587.192999 1056.795115 2001.198238 4268.319472
2025-12-21 125.629638 199.797321 324.500179 562.027154 1035.389284 2017.390316 4472.700742
2025-12-28 121.986366 197.659812 327.964675 583.423025 1111.176737 2255.992440 5293.477916
2026-01-04 119.287552 196.918191 333.823302 610.154416 1202.392495 2547.782913 6347.763319
2026-01-11 113.509629 190.210774 328.114521 613.151702 1242.807710 2729.293826 7156.343420
2026-01-18 105.785202 179.388461 313.773054 596.873936 1237.717161 2798.839548 7656.669478
2026-01-25 99.420835 170.595228 302.546346 585.859870 1243.148742 2896.187653 8277.608701
2026-02-01 96.821800 168.599423 304.241406 602.551805 1316.607346 3187.454965 9647.432965
2026-02-08 92.338573 162.700631 297.730478 600.517437 1344.009549 3358.868775 10668.098796
2026-02-15 87.615241 156.013146 289.096183 592.782728 1355.932321 3488.970857 11589.685445
2026-02-22 84.349153 151.935264 285.439699 596.011940 1396.740699 3713.580280 12982.211939
2026-03-01 79.923366 145.279542 275.934997 584.583576 1396.905458 3814.060857 13906.155249
2026-03-08 76.455123 140.321996 269.635250 580.161663 1415.694705 3978.485292 15192.211569